Tuesday, April 29, 2008

end to a good month

still running well in sngs.....im roughly +2k so far this week...had some mtt cashes as well - 7th in 100ss the other night for 500 i believe then a 1k cash today in 4500ss.....nothing too exciting.......it feels great to have the biggest downswing ive ever had in sngs and climb out of it sucessfully - makes it easier the next time one of those roll around.....

in other news I got my last final tomorrow night....its great to be finishing up college - somewhat of a scary feeling though that financial security is gone, and its really all on me at this point....at the same time im excited to never see a textbook again or listen to 50 year olds recite passages in a textbook that have no relation to making money in the real world....there were definitely some classes that were valuable to me, but alot were just a waste of time.....im also 99% about moving into this beachhouse in a couple weeks, so its a very exciting time....hopefully things go well

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Long week - 40 hrs in 4 days

So last week I set a goal of getting in 40 hours a week, similar to a "real" job but more importantly to get in high volume so I could start making money again. I ended up breaking even all the way till today, and finished +1500 through sngs....in the past week I dont think I had one MTT cash :(....April is starting to look like a good month - after reviewing past posts Im around +11k in sngs/mtts, +2k in RB, +1k or so in ARPs, and most likely +1k from this rake race, putting me around +15k so far this month......Id like to hit 20k one of these months but Id need to hit a mtt in the next 6 days to give that a shot.....lets go ap gods :)

Im also thinking about moving to Cake Poker so I can consistently get in 8-9 tables at a time when AP is slow.....Cake SNG's are a real joke, much like AP.....they're a little slow but AP is too, so combining the sites might be worthwhile....The downsides are withdrawing - check seems to be the only viable option as of now, and they dont even offer a courier method.....rather not wait 20 days for my money...

Tomorrow I will be taking off the whole day to play golf, check out this new house I might rent, and see my girlfriend...Its been a long week of grinding so I really need a solid couple days to relax and actually enjoy living

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Some friday night poker and a weekend of rest

So I got home around 7 to get a night in of poker.....decided to do that donkfest 10k since I planned on sitting there from 8pm-2am.....I havent done a 50 dollar freezout in a while, since the prizepools never really interest me, but this ended up paying around 3k to first so I figure id give it a roll....Ended up losing AA to KK when I was 2nd in chips with like 16 to go - was sort of shocked at the time but thats poker....essentially if I won that I would of had prob double the stack of 2nd place and I would imagine I could ship that a high % of the time considering how little chips are in play....I gotta say though that tournament is REALLY soft.....I know AP tournaments in general are much softer than other sites, but theres very little blind defending in the 10k, and around the bubble the majority are trying to cash and playing ridiculously tight.....Theres also just a ton of donkey shoves so I would definitely recommend this tournament if you want some easy money :) Ended up busting the 30r,100ss and being about breakeven in sngs...

This weekend im just gonna chill and relax....the weather is real nice today so I wanna take advantage of it...Also I find myself hating poker when I play a little 6-7 days a week, so Id rather just play a long week rather than stretch it out....usually when I play the weekend I find myself dreading to play on Monday

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Return to normalcy (or just running good)

So I started the week on Monday after being gone over the weekend...Mon I dropped about 1500 in sngs/mtts, but then went on a heater making that 1500 back and another 2k on top....then tonight i shipped the 30rebuy for 4500 bringing the weekly total to around +6500....feels good to win the 30r outright, as ive only chopped it before or fallen in 2nd....Ive also made a conscious effort this week to keep track with the amount of hours Ive been playing...my goal is to play 40 hours this week, and its tough fitting this in with a school schedule,gym, and a social life.....I believe im around 30 hours on the week, so hopefully I can fit in another 10 between thurs and friday....

Outside of poker playing, my sleep schedule is all fucked up......becasue alot of these tournaments run till 3 in the morning, I find myself sitting here at 4:10 AM wide awake, failing to fall asleep after some attempts.....Just to make it worse I have class at 9:30 AM, and I definitely can't miss it....good times

Friday, April 11, 2008

good day - ran hot in sngs - the end of the bad run?

ended up around +2k over a couple hours...went 3rd in 20rebuy and ran hot in sngs.....could this be the end of my run?? i hope so, but who knows.....currently at about +3500 this week, so Id like to continue the trend and possibly end around +5k...

outside of poker, it looks like the house i was gonna rent fell apart, so i was a little dissapointed with that. regardless we will keep looking and eventually throw some sick parties

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

poker, taxes, and golf

things been going ok in sngs lately....past 2 days im up about 1500 even with dumping prob 600 in mtt buy ins, so glad to see Im really +2k or so in sngs......I havent had a real cash in a mtt lately, but found it funny cashing the 20r today for 78 bucks....so i lose 2 dollars for cashing???

Im also in the process of completing my taxes for 07 - its alot of fun giving money away to the government but I guess I don't have too much of a choice...luckily I made under 100k last year so I wasn't hit too hard...

Finally the temps are starting to hit the 60s, and its time for me to hit the links....I logged about 8 hours today so I could take alot of tomorrow off and play - hopefully I do decent and break 100 for once....

Monday, April 7, 2008

Come join my RB site, make money and make me money :)

I dunno if all the rakeback sites have done this but rakebreak.com has now made it so you can cash your rakeback out at any time which is great....Along with that they also have prize payouts to those earning the most rake during the month which is definitely pretty nice...So if you wanna make some extra bank sign up at rakebreak.com and use referral code "z06fanatic" (end shameless plug)

Saturday, April 5, 2008

A couple MTTs and a quick rundown of my expectation

So I slept over my gf's last night, got back home around 130 pm today and signed up for the 25k,10k, and 4500ss....10k first hand I repop with KK guy calls, flop comes 3 diamonds, I got the Kd. I basically get it all in on the flop with the shallow 1500 stacks, he calls with flopped flush obv(36dd), gg me...4500ss, I end up busting with tptk into set....25k im still goin - wish me luck!

So I was driving to my girls thinking about my expectation and how ridiculous this has been...so I decided to run some numbers to get an "idea" of what my expectation is. Now that I dropped 200s for now, Im going to just calculate 65s/100s, as well as mtts. Lets say I average 1000 games a month, and say my ROI in 100s is 6%, with a 10% ROI in 65s(no idea where my true ROI is, but I'd think that my ROI is higher than this).....Lets say 600 100s and 400 65s....as for mtts lets say I do 50 a month, avg buy in 100, with a longterm ROI of 60%(rather keep my estimates conservative)...sooooo

600 100s = 65,400 a month in buy ins, 3924 in profit(6%), 1620 in RB = 5544.00/mo
400 65s = 28,400 a month in buy ins, 2840 in profits(10%), 720 in RB = 3560/mo
50 mtts = 5,000 in buy ins, 3000 in profits(60%), 3000/mo

That equals 12,104.00 profit per month + ARPs which usually equals to around 80-90,000 a month or roughly 1300, so 13,400 lets say.

I think thats a conservative estimate of my profitability, and at the same time 150k for the year would make me really happy. So lets say I take the last 4 months and compare them to my expectation. Dec I was +6k over expectation, Jan +1k, Feb -10k behind expectation, March -7500 behind, thus going into April Im technically 10k behind expectation.....all in all this 150k mark is still not that far away, but it would be nice to run at "expectation" for once.


-ps - if anyone has any info that could help me narrow down true ROI's in these games Id appreciate it.

Friday, April 4, 2008

been slackin on blogging

thats mainly due to not making the monies :(....after my last blog post, the follow day i chopped the 20r again and ended last week around 3k-3500.....ive been really raping these small mtts on ap and way ahead of my ROI goal for 08 of 50% or more...Hopefully I can keep the ROI atleast something respectable (50-60%) on the year...

SNG's have still been a struggle as I took a -3k swing this week in em.......On a positive note my rakeback site is offering payouts for those who earn top rake for the month, so Im hoping to win that leaderboard